Property Advice

Friday, 5 February 2016

Hampstead Landlords count the cost of a Tory Election win

Can you remember 10.05pm on Thursday, 7th May 2015 ... with the shock news that BBC Exit Polls suggested the Conservatives would return with a majority? The middle classes in Templewood Avenue and Redington Road exhaled a huge sigh of relief, as Hampstead landlords, faced with rent controls from Red Ed and the Labour Party now had something to cheer about. The Tory’s were always considered to be a political party that accepted the importance of the rental market and supported its development whilst properly targeting the lawbreaker landlords renting out sub-standard rental accommodation.

Since May though, George Osborne announced future rises in stamp duty for buy to let landlords and a change in the interest relief on buy to let mortgages, some people have now started to question that loyalty. However, things could have been a lot worse for Hampstead landlords as previous ideas of making them pay more tax was the idea (which was seriously considered) of increasing Capital Gains Tax rates to the landlord’s own income tax levels. If Landlords would have had to pay capital gains tax of 40% to 45% on any uplift in value, I can tell you here and now, that would have made investing in property a non-starter for almost everyone.

However, I will admit the loss of mortgage higher rate tax relief will make a number of properties not stack up financially. The new rules are likely to slow demand in the Hampstead housing market, which is in fact good news for the other landlords, as there is less competition from 'amateurs' offering too much.

Just a thought, but making Hampstead landlords think twice and
run their numbers more cautiously is not such a bad thing.

So looking at the numbers, the November figures have just been released and they show a growth of property values in Hampstead of 0.6% over the month of November. That figure doesn’t surprise me due to the time of year. It’s quite dangerous to look at one month in isolation, so looking at a more medium term view, over the last 12 months, property values in Hampstead have risen by 4.5%, not bad when you consider inflation is running at -0.1%.

However, regular readers of the Hampstead Property Blog know my passion for looking deeper into the stats. The really interesting information is the value growth, but what types of property are actually selling in Hampstead?  Looking at all the properties sold, as recorded by the Land Registry, within a mile of the centre of Hampstead in September 2015 (this data always runs a couple of months behind the house price data) compared to September 2007 (a couple of months before the credit crunch started to bite and the subsequent property crash).


Property Type 
Sept 2007
Sept 2015
Difference
Semis in Hampstead
3
3
0%
Terraced Houses in Hampstead
9
1
-88.9%
Apartments / Flats in Hampstead
75
71
-6.6%


Now I have mentioned in previous articles that the numbers of properties selling in the suburb has certainly dropped post 2008, but what amazed me were the drop in the number of terraced houses selling compared to flats/apartments. This trend is largely driven by demographic factors.

Less properties are selling than last decade in Hampstead
and the types of properties selling have changed ...
interesting times ahead for the Hampstead Property market!

Therefore, all I can say to the landlords of Hampstead is do your homework, make sure the numbers stack up, take advice and opinion from professionals and above all, for those of you planning to add to your portfolio, buy the right property at the right price. One place for such advice and opinion on the Hampstead Property market is the Hampstead Property Blog  www.NW3propertyblog.com


If you are looking for an agent with experience that can help you find the right tenant for your property, then contact us to find out how we can get the best out of your investment property. Email me on chris@ashmoreresidential.com or give me a call on 020 7435 0420. Pop in for a chat – we are based on Ashmore Residential, Suite 7, 25-27 Heath Street, London, NW3 6TR. The kettle is always on.

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